Elite Eight Top Most Competitive Senate Races.

US Senate Homepage Current Projection

Races where we forecast party change:

New Hampshire: Sununu (R) inc vs. Shaheen (D)

As of 3/17 the poll average showed Shaheen leading Sununu 49% to 39%.

Pollster Poll Average

Virginia: Open Gilmore (R) vs. Warner (D)

As of 3/27 the poll average showed Warner beating Gilmore 56% to 38.5%.

Pollster Poll Average

New Mexico: Open Udall (D) vs. Pearce (R) or Wilson (R)

Average of the polls shows Udall beating Pearce 54% to 37% and Udall beating Wilson 55% to 38%.

Polls for Udall vs. Wilson and for Udall vs. Pearce.

Colorado: Open Udall (D) vs. Schaeffer (R)

Average of the polls shows Udall beating Schaffer 45.5% to 38%.

Polls for Schaeffer vs. Udall.

Louisiana: Landrieu (D) inc vs. Kennedy (R)

Average of the polls shows Kennedy trailing Landrieu 40.5% to 48%.

Pollster page for Kennedy vs. Landrieu.

Races where we forecast no party change but competitive races:

Minnesota: Coleman (R) inc vs. Franken (D)

Average of the polls shows Coleman beating Franken 49.3% to 43%.

Pollster page for Coleman vs. Franken.

Alaska: Stevens (R) inc vs. Begich (D)

Average of the polls shows Begich leading Stevens 46% to 43.5%.

Pollster page for Stevens vs. Begich.

Mississippi: To replace Trent Lott. Wicker (R) vs. Musgrove (D)