Thursday, September 11, 2008
US Senate Projection Update 11 September 2008
Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
Alaska: Leans Democratic Pickup
Colorado: Leans Democratic Pickup
Louisiana: Leans Democratic Hold
Minnesota: Republican Leaning Toss Up
Mississippi Special: Leans Republican Hold
New Hampshire: Democrat Favored Pickup
North Carolina: Republican Leaning Toss Up
Oregon: Leans Republican Hold
Virginia and New Mexico are such likely Democratic pickups that they are no longer on our elite eight seats to watch but they are worth a mention.
Our projection as it stands now: Democrats (Including Lieberman and Sanders) 56 Republicans 44.
US Senate Projection Home Page here.
Elite Eight Detail.
Races where we forecast party change:
New Hampshire: Sununu (R) inc vs. Shaheen (D)
Pollster Poll Average
Virginia: Open Gilmore (R) vs. Warner (D)
Pollster Poll Average
New Mexico: Open Udall (D) vs. Pearce (R)
Pollster Poll Average.
Colorado: Open Udall (D) vs. Schaeffer (R)
Polls for Schaeffer vs. Udall.
Alaska: Stevens (R) inc vs. Begich (D)
Pollster page for Stevens vs. Begich.
Races where we forecast no party change but competitive races:
Louisiana: Landrieu (D) inc vs. Kennedy (R)
Pollster page for Kennedy vs. Landrieu.
Minnesota: Coleman (R) inc vs. Franken (D)
Pollster page for Coleman vs. Franken.
Mississippi: To replace Trent Lott. Wicker (R) vs. Musgrove (D)
Pollster Page for Wicker vs. Musgrove.
North Carolina: Dole (R) inc vs. Hagan (D)
Pollster Page for Dole vs. Hagen.
Oregon: Smith (R) inc vs. Merkley (D)
Pollster Page for Smith vs. Merkley.
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