Friday, July 11, 2008

US Senate Projection Update 11 July 2008

Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:

Alaska: Weak Democratic Pickup (59% probability)
Colorado: Strong Democratic Pickup (81%)
Louisiana: Weak Democratic Hold (57%)
Minnesota: Moderate Republican Hold (62%)
Mississippi Special: Moderate Democratic Pickup (61%)
New Hampshire: Strong Democratic Pickup (75%)
North Carolina: Moderate Republican Hold (65%)
Oregon: Weak Republican Hold (59%)

Virginia and New Mexico are both such likely Democratic pickups that they are no longer on our elite eight seats to watch but they are worth a mention.

Our projection as it stands now: Democrats (Including Lieberman and Sanders) 57 Republicans 43. No change from last projection.

US Senate Projection Home Page here.

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