Thursday, September 09, 2004

Battle for Colorado Part Three. Overview of the State House.

In my last update I gave a predicted makeup for the Colorado State Senate, Democrats can expect 15-18 seats, the GOP can hope for 17-20. Since the State Senate has 35 members, a majority is 18 seats. The Democrats had an incredible year in 2000, the last time this batch of seats was up for election, so they are playing defense this time around. The odds on them retaking the State Senate are 4-1. However, since these districts have been redistricted some uncertainty has been added to the equations.

Today I would like to focus on the State House. Ohwillek did an excellent piece on the races for this house a few months back. Little has changed since. These races are much easier to figure out since the 2002 races were in the same districts as today. I have a map entitled Colorado House Districts Wide View. It covers House Districts 65-53, 50, 49, 46, 45, 43, 40 and 19. Of these twenty districts two are safe Democratic seats, fifteen are safe Republican seats and three are competitive.

If you click here you can go to my map entitled “Northern Front Range House Districts.” This map covers House Districts 10-13, 31, 33, 48, 51 and 52. Of these nine races four are competitive.

If you click here you can go to my map entitled “Southern Front Range Pueblo to Hampden.” This map covers House Districts 14-18, 20, 21, 25, 28, 36-39, 44 and 47. Of these 15 seats two are competitive.

If you click here you can go to my Map entitled “Metro Denver North.” This map covers House Districts 1-9, 22-24, 26, 27, 29, 32, 34, 35, 41 and 42. Of these twenty districts four are competitive.

Updates on the fourteen close races will be coming up in the next week.

The Democrats need to pick up five seats to take control of the House. They are defending seven competitive seats, the same as the Republicans. Currently the Republicans are projected to maintain control of the House.

Cross posted at Polstate.

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