The new geography of Colorado.

The votes are still being tallied. But we can say one thing about Colorado, it is not a midwestern state. Colorado seems to have changed dramatically over the last decade. It holds little in common with its neighboring states, and it seem to take its political leanings from the West Coast, California and Washington seem like the easiest comparisons.

In fact, to paraphrase Scoop Jackson, every vote you need to win in Colorado you can see from the top of Lookout Mountain.

2010 Final US Senate Projection.

We project a GOP pickup of eight seats in the US Senate.

Here are the seats listed in order of how likely the pickup is.

Nevada 65%
Colorado 79%
Pennsylvania 90%
Arkansas 95%
Illinois 95%
Indiana 95%
North Dakota 95%
Wisconsin 95%

Other races of note:

Washington projects a Democratic win at about 55% probability. Should be close.
California should not be very close.