Showing posts with label Elite Eight Update. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elite Eight Update. Show all posts

Thursday, September 11, 2008

US Senate Projection Update 11 September 2008



Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:

Alaska: Leans Democratic Pickup
Colorado: Leans Democratic Pickup
Louisiana: Leans Democratic Hold
Minnesota: Republican Leaning Toss Up
Mississippi Special: Leans Republican Hold
New Hampshire: Democrat Favored Pickup
North Carolina: Republican Leaning Toss Up
Oregon: Leans Republican Hold

Virginia and New Mexico are such likely Democratic pickups that they are no longer on our elite eight seats to watch but they are worth a mention.

Our projection as it stands now: Democrats (Including Lieberman and Sanders) 56 Republicans 44.

US Senate Projection Home Page here.

Elite Eight Detail.

Races where we forecast party change:

New Hampshire: Sununu (R) inc vs. Shaheen (D)




Pollster Poll Average

Virginia: Open Gilmore (R) vs. Warner (D)




Pollster Poll Average

New Mexico: Open Udall (D) vs. Pearce (R)




Pollster Poll Average.

Colorado: Open Udall (D) vs. Schaeffer (R)




Polls for Schaeffer vs. Udall.

Alaska: Stevens (R) inc vs. Begich (D)




Pollster page for Stevens vs. Begich.

Races where we forecast no party change but competitive races:

Louisiana: Landrieu (D) inc vs. Kennedy (R)




Pollster page for Kennedy vs. Landrieu.

Minnesota: Coleman (R) inc vs. Franken (D)




Pollster page for Coleman vs. Franken.

Mississippi: To replace Trent Lott. Wicker (R) vs. Musgrove (D)




Pollster Page for Wicker vs. Musgrove.

North Carolina: Dole (R) inc vs. Hagan (D)




Pollster Page for Dole vs. Hagen.

Oregon: Smith (R) inc vs. Merkley (D)




Pollster Page for Smith vs. Merkley.