Tuesday, December 20, 2005

State House Closest Races 2004

District Party in Power Win Margin % Win Margin Raw Number
HD 23 Democrat .2% 41
HD 52 Republican 1.3% 484
HD 29 Democrat 1.8% 520
HD 47 Democrat 3.6% 1107
HD 22 Republican 3.6% 1157
HD 31 Democrat 3.4% 1177
HD 27 Republican 4% 1307
HD 50 Democrat 6.2% 1356
HD 30 Democrat 7.8% 1490
HD 64 Democrat 7.4% 1929
HD 33 Republican 5.4% 1972
HD 36 Democrat 36 10.4% 2483

Colorado State House Highest Turnout 2004

HD 43 96.54%
HD 44 96.03%
HD 37 95.58%
HD 45 94.95%
HD 65 93.93%
HD 38 93.68%
HD 33 93.13%
HD 25 92.92%
HD 20 92.64%
HD 31 92.61%
HD 48 92.40%
HD 40 91.66%

Monday, December 12, 2005

Public Service Announcement.

We can't be serious all the time.

Check out this potato song.

Friday, December 09, 2005

Colorado House Homepage.

The Colorado House has 65 members. Currently the Democrats hold the majority 35-30. 33 seats are needed for conrol. Over the next few weeks each district will be examined, triage will occur, and we will come up with a competitive race chart...

...............THIS PAGE IS STILL UNDER CONSTRUCTION......................
Last Update 12/12/2005
Seven County Metro Area (Currently 11-R 25-D):

Adams County: 1-R 5-D
HD-30 Likely Democrat
HD-31 Competitive Democrat
HD-32 Likely Democrat
HD-33 Very Competitive Republican
HD-34 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-35 Non Competitive Democrat

Denver County: 0-R 9-D
HD-01 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-02 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-03 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-04 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-05 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-06 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-07 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-08 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-09 Non Competitive Democrat

Jefferson County W/ Broomfield: 4-R 4-D
HD-22 Very Competitive Republican
HD-23 Very Competitive Democrat
HD-24 Likely Democrat
HD-25 Likely Republican
HD-26 Likely Democrat
HD-27 Very Competitive Republican
HD-28 Likely Republican
HD-29 Very Competitive Democrat

Western Region: 5-R 3-D
HD-54 Non Competitive Republican
HD-55 Competitive Democrat
HD-56 Likely Democrat
HD-57 Non Competitive Republican
HD-58 Likely Republican
HD-59 Likely Republican
HD-60 Non Competitive Republican
HD-61 Likely Democrat

Northern & Eastern Regions: 6-R 2-D
HD-48 Non Competitive Republican
HD-49 Competitive Republican
HD-50 Competitive Democrat
HD-51 Non Competitive Republican
HD-52 Very Competitive Republican
HD-53 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-63 Non Competitive Republican
HD-65 Non Competitive Republican

Southern Region: 8-R 5-D
HD-14 Non Competitive Republican
HD-15 Non Competitive Republican
HD-16 Non Competitive Republican
HD-17 Non Competitive Republican
HD-18 Competitive Democrat
HD-19 Non Competitive Republican
HD-20 Non Competitive Republican
HD-21 Non Competitive Republican
HD-45 Non Competitive Republican
HD-46 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-47 Very Competitive Democrat
HD-62 Non Competitive Democrat
HD-64 Competitive Democrat

Competitive Race Chart:

Non Competitive & Likely Republican: Total 25 HD 14-17, 19-21, 25, 28, 37-40, 43-45, 48, 51, 54, 57-60, 63 & 65.
Competitive Republican: Total 1 HD 49.
Very Competitive Republican: Total 4 HD 22, 27, 33 & 52.
Very Competitive Democrat: Total 4 HD 23, 29, 31 & 47.
Competitive Democrat: Total 5 HD 18, 50, 55, 56, 64.
Non Competitive & Likely Democrat: Total 26 HD 1-13, 24, 26, 30, 32, 34-36, 41, 42, 46, 53, 61 & 62.

BETA Projected Makeup of Colorado State House: R 28-33 D 32-37

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Southern Region of the United States.

We have divided the United States into four regions in order to more effectively go about our state-by-state analysis.

Our southern region consists of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennesse and Arkansas. The southern region consists of 10 states that account for 120 of the 435 members of congress (27.6%).

Macro: Of the 120 House members that represent this region, 49 are Democrats and 71 are Republicans. This region's Senate delegation is made up of 16 Republicans and 4 Democrats. This region accounts for 27.6% of the US House and 20% of the United States Senate. John Kerry did not carry a single southern state in 2004.

Micro: This region only has ten competitive House races.

TX-17 Rep. Edwards (D) 8th Term 2004: % of vote 47% R 51% D CPI R+18
TX-22 Rep. DeLay (R) 11th Term 2004: % of vote 55% R 41% D CPI R+15
LA-7 Rep. Boustany (R) Freshman 2004: % of vote 55% R 45% D CPI R+7
LA-3 Rep. Melancon (D) Freshman 2004: % of vote 50% R 50% D CPI R+5
GA-12 Rep. Barrow (D)Freshman 2004: % of vote 48% R 52% D CPI D+5
GA-8 Rep. Marshall (D) Freshman 2004: % of vote NA% R NA% D CPI R+21
FL-9 OPEN 2004: Republican Unopposed CPI R+4
FL-13 OPEN 2004: % of vote 55% R 45% D CPI R+4
FL-22 Rep. Shaw (R) 13th Term 2004: % of vote 63% R 35% D CPI D+4
NC-11 Taylor (R) 8th Term 2004: % of vote 55% R 45% D CPI R+7

Thursday, December 01, 2005

Western Region of the United States.

We have divided the United States into four regions in order to more effectively go about our state-by-state analysis.

Our western region consists of Alaska, Hawaii, California, Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. Thirteen states that account for 98 of the 435 members of congress.

Macro: Of the 98 House members that represent this region, 53 are Democrats and 45 are Republicans. However, this region's Senate delegation is made up of 15 Republicans and 11 Democrats. This region accounts for 22.5% of the US House and 26% of the United States Senate. This region voted 9-4 in favor of President Bush in 2004.

Micro: This region only has five competitive House races.

WA-8 Rep. Reichert (R) Freshman. 2004: % of vote 52% R 47% D CPI D+2
WA-2 Rep. Larson (D) 3rd Term 2004: % of vote 34% R 64% D CPI D+3 w/ nominal opp.
NM-1 Rep. Wilson (R) 4th Term 2004: % of vote 54% R 46% D CPI D+2
CO-3 Rep. Salazar (D) Freshman. 2004: % of vote 47% R 51% D CPI R+6
CO-7 OPEN 2004: % of vote 55% R 43% D CPI D+2

It also appears that there will be two competitive Senate elections, Montana and Washington.