Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Colorado State Senate Projection 2012

Colorado State Senate Projection 2012.

Probability of Control: Democratic 75%

Current make up of State Senate is 20 D 15 R

The GOP needs to pick up three seats to gain control of the chamber. It just so happens there are three competitive districts this cycle, all are being defended by Democrats. The last few election cycles the GOP has under performed against Democrats down ticket. Watch the returns on District 14, 19 and 35 to see if independents are not breaking for Democrats like they normally do in down ticket races here. It is very unlikely that the GOP can swing all three seats.

SD 14 Democrats have a 3% registration advantage.
SD 19 Republicans have a 1% registration advantage.
SD 35 Democrats have a 2% registration advantage.

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